We’re not even an entire month removed from the Rams victory over the Bengals but it’s never to early to start looking ahead with Super Bowl LVII futures bets.
If you’re feeling eager, you can bet on who you think will win Super Bowl LVII at plenty of sportsbooks in Iowa. Franchise tagging, the NFL Draft, schedule releases and full free agency will all shift the numbers however.
Super Bowl LVII early favorites
The main sportsbooks in Iowa give the advantage to two teams, and neither come as a shock: The Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs.
The Chiefs have +700 odds to win the Super Bowl with DraftKings and Caesars. With Fanduel and BetMGM, they’re at +750. Buffalo is +700 to win Super Bowl LVII with Fanduel and DraftKings, but +750 at Caesars and BetMGM.
Despite neither the Bills nor Chiefs played in this year’s Super Bowl, it’s hard to argue against the potential of star quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen.
Mahomes just wrapped up his fourth season as a full-time starter. In those four years, he’s appeared in two Super Bowls, winning one. In the two non-Super Bowl years, Mahomes led the Chiefs to the AFC Championship game. Historically speaking, he’s been just about as close to winning Super Bowl in his early NFL career as any other quarterback. But, given how close (and entertaining) the Chiefs-Bills AFC Divisional game was, it’s no surprise to put Buffalo in the same sentence as Kansas City.
What are the Rams’ odds at repeating as Super Bowl champs?
They’re not the leaders to repeat in 2023, but the Rams don’t have terribly-long odds to run it back at Iowa sportsbooks. LA’s chances to repeat are +1100 with DraftKings and BetMGM and +1200 with Fanduel and Caesars.
Repeating as Super Bowl champions is easier said than done. The New England Patriots (2003 and 2004) were the last time to go back-to-back in this past century.
LA Rams offensive coordinator Kevin O’Connell is out of the picture, as he accepted the Minnesota Vikings’ head coaching gig. O’Connell took offensive assistant Chris O’Hara with him, too.
Free agency will play a role as well, with both Odell Beckham Jr. and Von Miller’s contracts expiring. Plus, the Rams don’t own a draft pick until the third round of this year’s draft. But then again, lack of draft capital never stopped his team.
What are the odds for Midwest teams like the Packers?
Depending on which Iowa sportsbook you bet with, Green Bay has the shortest odds of any NFC team to win the Super Bowl in 2023. Moneylines include +950 on FanDuel and +1000 on DraftKings. It’s +1500 on Caesars and +1400 on BetMGM. Those odds may shift depending on Aaron Rodgers impending decision. But what about the other teams in the NFC North?
None come close to sniffing Green Bay’s odds. Minnesota is the closest, with a middle-of-the-pack +3000 on Caesars being the best odds (+3300 on FanDuel, +3500 on DraftKings, +4000 on Bet MGM).
The Bears are higher-risk, higher-reward, with their shortest odds at Bet MGM (+6600). Other sportsbooks list them at +7000 (FanDuel) and +8000 (DraftKings and Caesars).
And the Lions? Sportbooks don’t expect a great season. The odds are +12000 at FanDuel. Detroit is +15000 at DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM. But speaking of bad odds…
Which teams have the longest odds at winning Super Bowl LVII?
Detroit is one of them. So are the New York Jets and Houston Texans.
The longest odds for any NFL team to win the 2023 Super Bowl belong to the Texans at +20000 at Caesars. They’re also dead last at FanDuel with +18000.
If Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson’s legal situation is cleared and he has a desire to play for the Texans, those odds are likely to change. But in the meantime, Watson’s absence and a new head coach in Lovie Smith don’t please the oddsmakers.
Which conference will win?
Let’s say you can’t pick between the Chiefs or Bills to win Super Bowl LVII, but you’re confident one of the two will. In Iowa, you can bet on which conference will win the big game at DraftKings and BetMGM.
Given how Kansas City and Buffalo are the early favorites, the AFC holds the best odds with both sportsbooks (-130 with Bet MGM, -145 with DraftKings). The NFC has +110 odds to win Super Bowl LVII at BetMGM and +115 odds with DraftKings.
Super Bowl LVII takes place at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ — home of the Arizona Cardinals.