Chiefs Vs. Bills NFL Betting: KC A Road Favorite On Monday Night

Written By Drew Ellis on October 16, 2020

Thursday Night Football is moving to Monday night in Week 6.

The Kansas City Chiefs were scheduled to visit the Buffalo Bills to kick off NFL Week 6 on Oct. 15, but the COVID-19 pandemic altered the Bills’ plans.

Buffalo played the Tennessee Titans this past Tuesday, forcing TNF’s game to 5 p.m. EST on Monday, Oct. 18. It will air on Fox and the NFL Network.

Iowa sports bettors still should be ready to capitalize on this matchup.

Oddsmakers like Chiefs as a road favorite

Both teams are 4-1 coming into Monday’s game; both are coming off their first loss.

Oddsmakers agree that the Chiefs are the favorite for Monday’s game. KC is listed as anywhere from a 3.5- to 4.5-point favorite against Buffalo. Most agree that the over/under is at 57.5 points.

On the moneyline, KC is listed around –195 to -200, while Buffalo is +165 to +170.

Chiefs at Bills Week 6 OddsDraftKingsFanDuelFOX BetPointsBetWilliam Hill
Point spread
(-110 juice unless noted)
KC -3.5
BUF +3.5
KC -4
BUF +4
KC -4.5
BUF +4.5
KC -3.5 -115
BUF +3.5 +105
KC -3.5
BUF +3.5
MoneylineKC -195
BUF +170
KC -200
BUF +168
KC -200
BUF +170
KC -196
BUF +165
KC -190
BUF +170
Total points
(-110 juice unless noted)
O 57.5
U 57.5
O 57.5
U 57.5
O 57
U 57
O 57.5
U 57.5
O 57.5
U 57.5

Since odds opened Oct. 14, the Chiefs have been holding steady as a favorite of more than a field goal.

The odds have been out for only a few days, but public betting is sound with the Chiefs. As of this writing, they are getting around 75% of the wagers.

Buffalo won the last meeting with Kansas City on Nov. 26, 2017. It was a 16-10 win on the road. The Chiefs have won and covered in three of the last four in the series.

These two have hit the under in three of their last four meetings.

Chiefs slip up at home against Raiders

Kansas City is coming off a surprising 40-32 loss at home to the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 5.

The loss at the NFL betting window drops the Chiefs to 3-2 against the spread this season. They are 3-2 with the under.

KC held a 21-10 lead in the second quarter of Sunday’s game, but the Raiders would score 30 of the next 33 points to take over the game.

The Chiefs were held to under 100 yards rushing for the game, but rookie RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been a positive this season. He has rushed for 344 yards and a TD while catching 17 passes for 169 yards.

Patrick Mahomes is making his NFL record-setting contract look worth it. Mahomes has 1,474 yards passing with 13 touchdowns and just one interception. He has KC with the second-ranked offense in the NFL at 407.2 yards and 29.8 points per game.

Mahomes will be without one of his top receivers this week. Sammy Watkins is out with a hamstring injury he suffered against the Raiders. Watkins has 21 catches for 222 yards and two touchdowns.

Defensively, KC gives up just 22 points per game but does allow 382.8 yards per contest. Their +5 turnover differential ranks fourth in the league.

Bills run over by the Titans

The Bills were rolling entering Tuesday’s game at Tennessee, but they were steamrolled by the Titans in a 42-16 loss.

That dropped Buffalo to 3-2 against the spread. Iowa sports bettors have to like that Buffalo is 4-0-1 with the over through five games.

Buffalo gave up 139 yards on the ground to the Titans in the loss. The Bills also committed three turnovers.

The run game for Buffalo was somewhat nonexistent as T.J. Yeldon led the way with 52 yards. Devin Singletary struggled to 25 yards on 11 carries.

Rookie Zack Moss has missed the last three games with a toe injury, but could return on Monday night.

Josh Allen has had an MVP-type run to open the 2020 season. He has thrown for 1,589 yards and 14 touchdowns with three interceptions. Allen has also rushed for 101 yards and three scores.

Allen’s effort has Buffalo as one of the top offenses in the NFL this season, averaging 27.8 points and 401.8 yards per game.

Defense has been a strength for the Bills in the past, but this season has been another story. Buffalo is giving up 28.4 points and 371.8 yards per game. As a team, the Bills are -2 in turnover differential.

Photo by AP Photo / Reed Hoffmann
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Drew Ellis

Drew Ellis has lived in Michigan his whole life and has been writing professionally 21 years. Ellis has covered anything from youth baseball in mid-Michigan, a top-25 college football program, and pro sports in the Detroit area. Always keeping busy, Ellis also has over 10 years of experience in covering sports betting, handling all major sports.

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